Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Lyon		Lorient

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	6	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.6	4.15	5.4	Watch
	1.6	4.28	5.76
	1.58	4.25	5.64	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.63	4.37	5.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	4.11 ↑ (3.84)	5.46 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
59.3%

Draw
23.3%

Lorient
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	17.6%	3.9%

Lyon - Lorient Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (40 of 51 users predict this - 78.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.14% – 89.72%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 34. Kango S. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. (C) 16. Abner Vinicius 23. Morton T. 18. Ghezzal R. 98. Maitland-Niles A. 99. Nartey N. 17. Moreira A. 77. Yaremchuk R.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 5. Meite B. 32. Adjei N. 25. Faye A. 11. Le Bris T. (C) 62. Avom A. 8. Cadiou N. 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 10. Pagis P. 12. Dieng B.
Substitutes
40. Descamps R. (G) 9. Endrick 33. Hateboer H. 7. Karabec A. 21. Kluivert R. 5. Mangala O. 44. Merah K. 6. Tessmann T. 8. Tolisso C.	34. Bley M. 7. Fadiga B. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 77. Katseris P. 35. Semedo D. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A. 44. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Le Bris T. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
45+1', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ghezzal R. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
46', Nartey N. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
46', Kango S. ↓, Endrick ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Yaremchuk R. ⚽, Endrick (A),
56', 2 - 0, Tolisso C. ⚽,
73', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
73', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
80', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
81', Endrick 🟨,
81', Morton T. 🟨,
82', Morton T. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
86', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
88', Meite B. 🟨,
90+1', Moreira A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.

Lyon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lorient's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lyon is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Himbert R. (Ankle Injury) Kamara N. (Muscle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury) Tagliafico N. (Red Card)

There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Injury) Karim D. (Injury) Talbi M. (Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 3.8% Lorient: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	7	11
13	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Angers - Lyon	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Lyon - Monaco	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Lyon - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Le Havre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Lyon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTT
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Toulouse - Lorient	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Lorient - Lens	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lille - Lorient	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.03.26	Lorient - Nice	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Lorient - Lyon	1:0
09.03.24	Lorient - Lyon	0:2
08.10.23	Lyon - Lorient	3:3
05.03.23	Lyon - Lorient	0:0
07.09.22	Lorient - Lyon	3:1
04.03.22	Lorient - Lyon	1:4
25.09.21	Lyon - Lorient	1:1

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