Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 28Date: 10 September 2026, ThursdayLocation: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Nõmme United U21 |
|
Tallinna Kalev |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
4.10 |
2.40 |
|
 |
2.50 |
3.90 |
2.08 |
|
 |
2.09 |
4.30 |
2.49 |
|
 |
2.61 |
4.55 |
2.04 |
Watch |
 |
2.08 |
4.30 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.12 |
4.33 |
2.44 |
|
 |
2.20 |
4.10 |
2.36 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.54) |
4.23 ↑
(4.05) |
2.31 ↑
(2.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nõmme United U21
39.9% | Draw
21.2% | Tallinna Kalev
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United U21 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+4.2%)Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Nõmme United U21 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Kalev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Nõmme United U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | -4 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | -13 | 39 |
|
|
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 18.07.26 | Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21 | 3:1 | | 18.06.26 | Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna Kalev | 1:2 | | 01.05.26 | Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21 | 4:4 |
|
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
