Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 16

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	NAC Breda		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.38	4.6	6.75
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.41	5.14	7.8
	1.41	5.15	7.44
	1.33	4.6	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.8	7.2	Watch
	1.39	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)	4.77 ↑ (4.29)	7.46 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
67.7%

Draw
19.7%

Den Bosch
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

16.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Den Bosch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

NAC Breda - Den Bosch Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kortsmit R. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 7. Garbett M. 8. Leemans C. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 19. Boere T.	75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 27. Henning R. 5. Mbete L. 3. van den Bogert V. 15. van Grunsven T. 18. Mulders R. 6. Zelalem G. 14. de Groot N. 16. Vicario J. 30. Ogbaidze S. 99. Kostorz K.
Substitutes
18. Agougil S. 23. Besselink R. 9. Haugen S. 2. Lucassen B. 27. Marijnissen T. 6. Staring C. 49. Troost T. (G) 16. Vet J. 31. Wernersson V.	47. Barglan S. 40. Boumassaoudi I. 45. Gyamfi D. 4. Ikeshita Y. 17. Kalinauskas T. 9. Kotzebue V. 33. Laros M. 20. Leijten R. 24. Maas S. 1. Roggeveen J. (G) 19. van Bakel S. 31. Vrolijks L. (G)
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Kaczmarek T.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 3.

Recent matches Breda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Den Bosch has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Breda is indisputable favorite.

There are questionable in Breda: Omarsson E. (Knee Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Breda won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.11.23	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4 ✺
10.11.23	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Quick Boys - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	NAC Breda - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLLT
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.11.23	Den Bosch - Telstar	1:4 ✺
10.11.23	Emmen - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.11.23	Den Bosch - Excelsior	1:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.23	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	2:0
28.10.22	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	3:2
13.02.22	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	2:0
03.12.21	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	0:5
23.01.21	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	1:1
14.09.20	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	2:1
13.12.19	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	1:2

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