Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 12

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday


	NAC Breda		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4.33
	1.71	3.75	4.1
	1.75	4	4.2	Watch
	1.77	4.23	4.29
	1.78	4.2	4.24
	1.65	3.9	4.2
	1.72	4.05	4.3	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)	4 ↓ (4.16)	4.23 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
54.3%

Draw
23.5%

Helmond Sport
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

NAC Breda - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Troost T. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 31. Wernersson V. 7. Garbett M. 8. Leemans C. 39. Janosek D. 19. Boere T. 9. Haugen S.	1. van der Steen W. (C) 2. van Vlerken B. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 4. Kratschmer P. 24. Schroijen J. 19. Botos G. 20. Ostrc E. 14. Mallahi M. 8. Lorentzen H. 7. Amuzu J. 9. Kaars M.
Substitutes
18. Agougil S. 23. Besselink R. 17. Kuijpers R. 2. Lucassen B. 27. Marijnissen T. 22. Omgba A. 29. Rached M. 6. Staring C. 36. van de Merbel P. (G) 16. Vet J.	29. Chacon M. 30. Culhaci G. 28. Kreekels M. 22. Lieftink E. 6. Ludwig M. 21. Mantel R. (G) 18. Marin A. 23. ten Hove R. (G) 39. van den Hurk A. 10. Van Keilegom A. 27. Vankerkhoven L. 11. van Ooijen P.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Peeters B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Breda is a favorite.

There are questionable in Breda: Omarsson E. (Knee Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Breda won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.10.23	NAC Breda - Telstar	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Cambuur - NAC Breda	2:3 ✺
06.10.23	NAC Breda - Groningen	3:2 ✺
02.10.23	Jong Utrecht - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWTL
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.10.23	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	0:4 ✺
22.09.23	Helmond Sport - Groningen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.01.23	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	2:2
05.08.22	NAC Breda - Helmond Sport	1:0
18.03.22	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	4:0
27.11.21	NAC Breda - Helmond Sport	1:0
12.03.21	NAC Breda - Helmond Sport	3:2
06.09.20	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	0:2
10.01.20	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	0:0

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