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Current Win Probability
Den Bosch 27.4%
Draw 25.4%
Excelsior 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
25.7%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
24%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Den Bosch - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Excelsior will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bakker M. (G) 47. Barglan S. 3. van den Bogert V. 5. Henderikx S. 14. de Groot N. 33. Laros M. 23. Bakala M. 10. van Leeuwen T. 17. Burgering B. 7. Kotzebue V. 11. Verbeek D.
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 23. Hatenboer C. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 15. Naujoks N. 21. Donkor J. 9. Omorowa R.
Substitutes
20. Acheffay H. 40. Boumassaoudi I. 22. Gravenberch D. 19. Jonathans D. 34. Keijser Y. 9. Knoll T. 24. Maas S. 16. Monzialo K. 29. van Balsfoort R. (G) 36. van de Merbel P. (G) 15. van Grunsven T.
33. Bergraaf J. 38. Danquah E. (G) 32. de Moes S. 10. Duijvestijn L. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 14. Rosario R. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Landvreugd U.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Barglan S. ↓, Maas S. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Zagre A. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽, Donkor J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bakala M. ↓, Acheffay H. ↑,
61', Kotzebue V. ↓, Gravenberch D. ↑,
61', Verbeek D. ↓, Monzialo K. ↑,
61', Hatenboer C. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Donkor J. ⚽,
72', van den Bogert V. ↓, van Grunsven T. ↑,
75', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
75', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
81', Hartjes L. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
90', van Leeuwen T. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 0.
Den Bosch is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Excelsior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Den Bosch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Den Bosch have a series of guest games.
Excelsior will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Den Bosch: Mulders R.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
Pierie K.
(Red Card)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:38 (average 1.8:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Den Bosch won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.8:1.9).
Netherlands
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Bakker M. (G) 
Barglan S. 
Bakala M. 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Donkor J. 
Boumassaoudi I. 
Gravenberch D. 
Jonathans D. 
Knoll T. 
Monzialo K. 
Fini S. 
Rosario R. 
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