Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 15

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	MVV Maastricht		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.95
	3.25	3.6	1.95
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.64	3.88	1.99
	3.64	3.88	1.99
	3.2	3.6	1.95
	3.5	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MVV Maastricht
26.9%

Draw
25.1%

NAC Breda
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

24.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.5%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for NAC Breda aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Breda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matthys R. (G) 21. Labylle L. 3. Aktas O. 4. Coomans W. 34. Schenk L. 8. Souren N. (C) 31. Kleinen M. 7. Tasci T. 5. Smeets B. 9. Remans M. 10. Kostons K.	1. Kortsmit R. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 31. Wernersson V. 8. Leemans C. 6. Staring C. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 19. Boere T.
Substitutes
11. Buifrahi R. 6. El Basri N. 26. Hofland M. 1. Lambrix T. (G) 20. Nieling B. 14. Penders S. 22. Rocha Livramento D. 25. Yetimoglu E.	18. Agougil S. 23. Besselink R. 9. Haugen S. 2. Lucassen B. 27. Marijnissen T. 49. Troost T. (G) 16. Vet J.
Coaches
Verberne M.	van Gastel J.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Maastricht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Breda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.11.23	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	0:1 ✺
06.11.23	MVV Maastricht - Emmen	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.11.23	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.10.23	Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLTT
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.11.23	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Quick Boys - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	NAC Breda - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	NAC Breda - Telstar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.05.23	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4
23.05.23	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:0
10.03.23	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	4:1
15.08.22	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	3:1
04.03.22	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:2
22.10.21	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	3:0
07.05.21	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	2:0

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