Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	NAC Breda		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	8.5	6.5	1.29	Watch
	9.3	6.4	1.27
	7.87	6.11	1.31
	7.18	5.60	1.35	Watch
	8.65	6.61	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↑ (7.45)	6.24 ↑ (5.77)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
11.5%

Draw
15.3%

PSV Eindhoven
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

16.4%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

15.4%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	13.6%	77.3%

NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). PSV will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Breda (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - PSV (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 16.7%). PSV (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bielica D. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 25. Valerius C. 20. Jensen F. 22. Hillen R. 4. Kemper B. (C) 10. Nassoh M. 16. Balard M. 14. Sowah K. 7. Brym C. 17. van Hooijdonk S.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 27. Man D. 34. Saibari I. 5. Perisic I. 20. Til G.
Substitutes
27. Erat J. 55. Ghalidi B. 5. Kongolo T. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 8. Leemans C. 11. Paula R. 26. Reulen P. 9. Soumano M. 6. Staring C. 32. Talvitie J. 18. van Reeuwijk D.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 21. Boadu M. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 9. Pepi R. 24. Schiks N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Kaczmarek T.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Til G. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Jensen F. ↓, van Reeuwijk D. ↑,
66', Valerius C. 🟨,
67', Lucassen B. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
68', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
70', Til G. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
71', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
75', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
75', Veerman J. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
79', Brym C. 🟨,
80', Brym C. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
80', Balard M. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
90+4', Mauro Junior 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.

Breda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSV is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, PSV is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Breda: Holtby L. (Red Card) Jensen F. (Red Card)

There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: van den Berg J. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:45. (average 0.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
08.11.25	Volendam - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
24.10.25	Heerenveen - NAC Breda	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	NAC Breda - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
09.11.25	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:2 ✺
26.10.25	Feyenoord - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Napoli	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
25.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	3:2
09.11.24	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
08.02.22	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	4:0
23.01.20	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.19	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	2:0
29.09.18	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:2
31.03.18	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	5:1

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