Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Ajax		Volendam

	1	X	2
	1.33	6.25	6.5	Watch
	1.31	5.75	8.25
	1.3	6	8.5
	1.33	6.04	8.74
	1.31	5.89	8.37	Watch
	1.3	5.5	7
	1.31	5.92	9.2	Watch
	1.3	5.66	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.21)	5.88 ↓ (6.17)	8.07 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ajax
72.2%

Draw
16.1%

Volendam
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

15.2%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	13%	4.3%

Ajax - Volendam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Volendam (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 50%). Volendam (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaros V. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 30. Bouwman A. 15. Baas Y. 2. Rosa L. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 6. Regeer Y. 48. Steur S. 43. Bounida R. 9. Dolberg K. 11. Godts M.	1. van Oevelen K. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 18. Bukala N. 7. Kokcu O. 23. Kwakman D. 11. Oehlers A. 10. Kuwas B. 17. Ideho J.
Substitutes
41. Alders G. 17. Edvardsen O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 4. Itakura K. 24. Mokio J. 66. Nash P. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 37. Sutalo J. 32. Tomiyasu T. 25. Weghorst W.	39. Codinha T. 28. Esajas S. 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 2. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G) 22. Vlak D. (G) 24. Wong-A-Soij K.
Coaches
Grim F.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Baas Y. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Baas Y. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oehlers A. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
59', Kuwas B. 🟨,
63', Steur S. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
63', Regeer Y. ↓, Itakura K. ↑,
65', Bukala N. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
67', Leliendal Y. 🟨,
75', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
75', Dolberg K. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
77', Kokcu O. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
77', Leliendal Y. ↓, Codinha T. ↑,
78', Kwakman D. ↓, Wong-A-Soij K. ↑,
82', Rosa L. 🟨,
82', Ideho J. 🟨,
83', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.

Ajax is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Volendam's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury) Wijndal O. (Red Card)

There will not play in Volendam: Descotte A. (Inactive) van Cruijsen R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Volendam: Veerman H. (Injury) Yah G. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 3:1.8).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Villarreal - Ajax	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	6:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Telstar - Ajax	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Ajax - Seraing	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLWW
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.26	Volendam - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Volendam - Genemuiden	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.25	Volendam - Ajax	1:1
05.05.24	Volendam - Ajax	1:4
02.11.23	Ajax - Volendam	2:0
26.01.23	Ajax - Volendam	1:1
Club Friendly
07.12.22	Ajax - Volendam	5:4
Dutch Eredivisie
08.10.22	Volendam - Ajax	2:4
Dutch KNVB Beker
25.09.13	Ajax - Volendam	4:2 ET

Upcoming Matches