The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 31%
Draw 26.1%
De Graafschap 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
26.5%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
19.7%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.3%
10.3%
79.3%
NEC Nijmegen - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Graafschap will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Graafschap: 64.6% – 94%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).
Recent matches Nijmegen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
De Graafschap in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
De Graafschap could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
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