Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	NEC Nijmegen		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.35	Watch
	2.85	3.8	2.28
	2.55	3.45	2.37
	2.72	3.71	2.45
	2.62	3.6	2.38
	2.68	3.78	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.69)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
34.7%

Draw
25.7%

VVV-Venlo
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

18.4%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for NEC Nijmegen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVV-Venlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

NEC Nijmegen - VVV Venlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators. Postponed due to snow.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Venlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.21	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
29.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
25.01.21	FC Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWT
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eredivisie
14.02.21	Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
30.01.21	Fortuna Sittard - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
27.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	4:1 ✺
24.01.21	Twente - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.17	VVV-Venlo - NEC Nijmegen	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.05.15	VVV-Venlo - NEC Nijmegen	3:1
09.11.14	NEC Nijmegen - VVV-Venlo	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
15.02.13	NEC Nijmegen - VVV-Venlo	1:2
15.09.12	VVV-Venlo - NEC Nijmegen	2:2
17.03.12	VVV-Venlo - NEC Nijmegen	0:2

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