Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	MVV Maastricht		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.57
	4.4	4	1.57
	4.7	4.2	1.61
	4.6	4	1.6
	5.1	4.38	1.65
	4.75	3.8	1.57
	4.85	4.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.41)	4.14 ↑ (4.01)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MVV Maastricht
19.5%

Draw
22.4%

NEC Nijmegen
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

23.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

19%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Maastricht has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nijmegen in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nijmegen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nijmegen have a series of home games.

In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.01.21	Cambuur - MVV Maastricht	2:0 ✺
22.01.21	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.01.21	MVV Maastricht - Excelsior	2:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
08.01.21	MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
25.01.21	FC Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
08.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	2:1
17.01.20	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	0:0
25.10.19	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	2:0
03.05.19	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	1:1
14.12.18	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	0:1
16.02.18	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	4:1
29.09.17	NEC Nijmegen - MVV Maastricht	4:1

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