Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Twente		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5.75
	1.56	4.4	5.4	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5.2
	1.57	4.51	5.71
	1.52	4.33	5.8	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	4.44 ↑ (4.3)	5.59 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
61.6%

Draw
21.4%

VVV-Venlo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

12.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-26.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVV-Venlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	12.1%	24.2%

Twente - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 21 - 63.6%). Venlo will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 47.2% – 80%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Europa League to Play Offs) and 14).

Twente has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Venlo has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Twente is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venlo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Venlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Twente is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Twente won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Twente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.21	Groningen - Twente	2:2 ✺
14.01.21	Twente - Ajax	1:3 ✺
09.01.21	Emmen - Twente	1:4 ✺
22.12.20	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
19.12.20	VVV-Venlo - Twente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLW
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
13.01.21	ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo	1:4 ✺
10.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	2:1 ✺
22.12.20	PSV Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
19.12.20	VVV-Venlo - Twente	1:2
24.11.19	VVV-Venlo - Twente	2:1
Club Friendly
27.07.18	VVV-Venlo - Twente	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
01.04.18	VVV-Venlo - Twente	0:0
19.08.17	Twente - VVV-Venlo	1:2
21.04.13	VVV-Venlo - Twente	2:2
02.09.12	Twente - VVV-Venlo	1:0

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