Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	NEC Nijmegen		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.55	4.3	5.9
	1.56	4.34	5.88
	1.57	4.28	5.61	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.55	4.3	5.71	Watch
	1.55	4.3	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	4.26 ↑ (3.89)	5.75 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
61.2%

Draw
22.3%

Willem II
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Willem II (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Nijmegen (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 19. Lyratzis L. 4. Marquez I. 24. Verdonk C. 5. Ouwejan T. 71. Proper D. (C) 14. Larsen L. O. 10. Hansen S. 32. van Crooij V. 23. Sano K. 18. Ogawa K.	1. Didillon T. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 30. Behounek R. 4. Schouten E. (C) 22. Nizet R. 8. Bosch J. 6. Lambert B. 34. Lachkar A. 11. Kehrer E. 9. Vaesen K. 16. Meerveld R.
Substitutes
8. Darelas A. 31. Janse R. (G) 30. Linssen B. 11. Onal B. 25. Ouaissa S. 2. Pereira B. 33. Sbai Y. 20. Schone L. 9. Shiogai K. 1. van Gassel S. (G)	21. Ahmed Fatah A. 18. Bokila J. 7. Doodeman N. 17. Joosten P. 77. Kaygin D. 48. Mathijsen J. 15. Pivas M. 41. Schut M. (G) 19. Sylla Y. 51. van Aalst U. 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.
Coaches
Meijer R.	Aelbrecht K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
37', Sano K. 🟨,
41', Proper D. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hansen S. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
64', Meerveld R. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
65', Larsen L. O. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
76', Bosch J. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
83', Kehrer E. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
84', Nizet R. 🟨,
84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.

Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
27.04.25	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLTW
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
27.04.25	Fortuna Sittard - Willem II	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Willem II - Ajax	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Heerenveen - Willem II	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Willem II - Almere City	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.12.24	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	4:1
22.12.21	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
12.09.21	NEC Nijmegen - Willem II	0:0
15.01.17	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
25.09.16	NEC Nijmegen - Willem II	0:0
17.01.16	NEC Nijmegen - Willem II	1:0
28.08.15	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	0:1

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