Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 30

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Kenya	Gotv
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Fortuna Sittard		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.9	4.85	Watch
	1.72	3.82	5.29
	1.72	3.67	5.11	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.73	3.88	5.16	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)	4.88 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
55%

Draw
25.4%

Willem II
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Sittard's performance.

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	5.6%	22.2%

Fortuna Sittard - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortuna Sittard will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 14. Guth R. 35. Dijks M. 4. Adewoye S. 80. Fosso R. 11. Aiko M. 33. Bullaude E. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.	1. Didillon T. (G) 22. Nizet R. 33. St. Jago T. 4. Schouten E. (C) 30. Behounek R. 8. Bosch J. 14. Sandra C. 34. Lachkar A. 11. Kehrer E. 18. Bokila J. 16. Meerveld R.
Substitutes
8. Dahlhaus J. 5. Grujcic D. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 28. Mitrovic J. 19. Radulovic B. 32. Rosier L. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 77. Tunjic L.	21. Ahmed Fatah A. 7. Doodeman N. 17. Joosten P. 77. Kaygin D. 6. Lambert B. 48. Mathijsen J. 41. Schut M. (G) 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 19. Sylla Y. 9. Vaesen K. 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Maes P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Aiko M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adewoye S. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
51', Sandra C. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
61', Dijks M. ↓, Dahlhaus J. ↑,
62', Sierhuis K. ↓, Radulovic B. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Bullaude E. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
70', Bosch J. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
70', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
70', Nizet R. ↓, Sigurgeirsson R. ↑,
78', Peterson K. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
85', Schouten E. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 2.

Fortuna Sittard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Willem II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fortuna Sittard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Da Cruz A. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Injury) Michut E. (Red Card) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Inactive) van Loon P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Mitrovic J. (Inactive)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 2.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.25	Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLLW
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
13.04.25	Willem II - Ajax	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Heerenveen - Willem II	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Willem II - Almere City	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Willem II - Utrecht	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.10.24	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:0
13.03.22	Fortuna Sittard - Willem II	1:0
22.10.21	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
16.05.21	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	2:1
05.12.20	Fortuna Sittard - Willem II	3:2
21.12.19	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:0
18.08.19	Fortuna Sittard - Willem II	2:3

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