Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Nacional		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.25	Watch
	1.8	2.95	4.5
	1.87	3.15	4.1
	1.95	3.21	4.72
	1.88	3.2	4
	1.89	3.48	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)	3.2 ↓ (3.32)	4.24 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional
49.5%

Draw
28.8%

Defensor Sporting
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

16.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.10.20	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
31.10.20	Marítimo - Nacional	0:0 ✺
24.10.20	Nacional - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Nacional - Alianza Lima	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.10.20	Nacional - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTWW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.11.20	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
07.10.20	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
19.09.20	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
10.09.20	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	1:1
21.11.19	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	2:1
13.07.19	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	1:2
19.05.19	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	1:0

Upcoming Matches