Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)


	Porto B		Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.9
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.25	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.29	3.7	3.07
	2.29	3.7	3.07
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.18	3.6	2.92
	2.18	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	2.91 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
42%

Draw
26.1%

Nacional
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Porto B - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Meixedo F. (G) 72. Pinheiro R. 44. Correia R. (C) 4. Carmo D. 85. Varela N. 87. Folha B. 62. Fernandes R. 98. Abraham M. 67. Sousa V. 78. Meireles J. 50. Wendell	37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 10. Esteves L. 18. Sousa A. 77. Gustavo 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 9. Ramirez J.
Substitutes
46. Braima 73. Bras G. 95. Cande U. 52. Fernandes M. 77. Monteiro R. 86. Mora R. 68. Oliveira A. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 49. Sousa G.	8. Danilovic V. 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 33. Goncalves C. 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 55. Sousa A.
Coaches
Folha A.	Margarido T.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto B won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Porto B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nacional have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
17.12.23	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Porto B - AVS	2:3 ✺
02.12.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Penafiel - Porto B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.23	Nacional - Braga	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.12.23	Nacional - Belenenses	5:0 ✺
09.12.23	Benfica B - Nacional	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Nacional - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Nacional - Casa Pia	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.23	Porto B - Nacional	1:1
12.11.22	Nacional - Porto B	4:0
30.01.22	Nacional - Porto B	1:0
22.08.21	Porto B - Nacional	1:1
05.10.19	Nacional - Porto B	4:1
07.03.18	Nacional - Porto B	6:0
16.09.17	Porto B - Nacional	2:1

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