Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Torreense		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	3.7	2.95	1.98
	3.6	3.2	2.1	Watch
	4.25	3.16	2.07
	3.5	3	2
	3.91	3.18	2.02
	3.65	3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.84)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.04 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
24.5%

Draw
30%

Santa Clara
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torreense's form might have worsened.

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torreense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Clara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	44.4%	55.6%

Torreense - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 5. Afonso J. (C) 77. Neneco 31. Joaozinho 14. Elimbi M. G. 30. Balanta J. 8. Benny 80. Keffel 27. D'Alberto A. 10. Welthon F. S. 20. Correa J.	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 6. Velazquez S. 13. Rocha L. 16. Henrique P. (C) 42. Lucas Soares 35. Serginho 77. Klismahn G. 32. MT 10. Ricardinho 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
19. Arriba J. 22. Daniel Bolt 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 40. Gomez P. 32. Guzman S. 23. Lucas Silva 29. Patrick 12. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 21. Rodrigues A.	19. Almeida B. 11. Andrezinho 82. Conceicao K. 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 8. Ferreira P. 49. Gabriel Silva 25. Pires M. 99. Rafael Martins
Coaches
Tulipa	Pires L.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Torreense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Clara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
15.01.24	Torreense - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Feirense - Torreense	3:1 ✺
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	0:0 ✺
08.12.23	Leiria - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
14.01.24	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Santa Clara - Mafra	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.08.23	Santa Clara - Torreense	2:0

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