Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Nacional Montevideo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.35	7.1
	1.42	4.56	7.77
	1.43	4.56	6.94	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.44	4.39	6.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	4.34 ↓ (4.67)	6.93 ↓ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
65.3%

Draw
21.3%

Central Español
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

19%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Nacional Montevideo - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Suarez I. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 4. Coates S. (C) 2. Rogel A. 34. Bais F. 23. Rodriguez L. 6. Boggio L. 14. Lodeiro N. 27. Veron T. 20. Carneiro G. 9. Gomez M.	39. Rodolfo (G) 5. Navarro S. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 26. Cesar Nunes 4. Montiel M. 24. Gandolfo G. 7. Munoz F. 30. Alonso M. 11. Aguilera M. 9. Tarragona R.
Substitutes
30. Barcia B. 40. Bianchi J. (G) 15. Calione P. 19. De Los Santos J. 10. Dos Santos A. 7. Lopez N. 18. Nunez P. 5. Pintado J. 77. Rodriguez N. 8. Vera M.	22. Aramburu E. 15. Cantera M. 3. Dupont J. 23. Gonella I. 16. Mendez I. 10. Muniz R. 21. Pino L. 12. Rodriguez S. (G) 27. Sosa F. 20. Vera D.
Coaches
Bava J.	de Ambrosio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Coates S. 🟨,
45+4', Navarro S. 🟨,
45+5', Montiel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bais F. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Munoz F. ⚽,
57', Ancheta E. ↓, Pintado J. ↑,
57', Veron T. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
62', Aguilera M. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,
68', Lodeiro N. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
74', Alonso M. ↓, Dupont J. ↑,
74', Tarragona R. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
80', Boggio L. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
81', Munoz F. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
88', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
90+5', Rodolfo 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nacional	9	5	2	2	13:9	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.26	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Central Español	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
10.03.13	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	2:1
14.09.12	Central Español - Nacional Montevideo	0:2

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