Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Nancy		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.48	3.61
	2.07	3.57	3.33	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2.08	3.51	3.51	Watch
	2.1	3.33	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	3.4 ↓ (3.53)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
45.1%

Draw
27.4%

Rodez
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Nancy - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Nancy (2.03) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rodez (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basilio E. (G) 4. Fernandez N. 17. Carlier M. (C) 21. Mendy E. 44. Tacafred E. 25. Gelin J. 6. Bouriaud T. 3. Bourgault J. 9. Sissoko N. 8. Bouabdelli W. 7. Fdaouch Z.	1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 8. Younoussa W. 28. Saka M. 26. Benchamma S. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.
Substitutes
23. Bamba R. 18. Barbier H. 10. Dabasse A. 19. Experience M. 30. Lembet G. (G) 77. Nahounou Y. 29. Ouotro P.	30. Crombez E. (G) 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 6. Mendes J. 9. Nagera K. 19. Tebily H. 27. Trouillet A. 21. Vangi D.
Coaches
Correa P.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽, Arconte T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Bamba R. ↑,
51', Gelin J. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Arconte T. ⚽, Saka M. (A),
59', Sissoko N. 🟨,
61', Tacafred E. 🟨,
63', Bouriaud T. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
63', Sissoko N. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
65', Saka M. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
70', Bourgault J. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
78', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
79', Younoussa W. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Dabasse A. ⚽, Ouotro P. (A),
86', Arconte T. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
86', Benchamma S. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, Nagera K. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nancy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nancy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B. (Inactive) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Maouassa F. (Injury) Saint-Ruf N. (Inactive) Sidibe O. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury) Suljic C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rodez: Margueron L. (Injury) Ponti R. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Nancy: 1.49% Rodez: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8:7	1	10
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
19.01.26	Nancy - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Amiens - Nancy	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Nancy - Clermont	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
16.01.26	Rodez - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pau - Rodez	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Rodez - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Troyes - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Canet Roussillon - Rodez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Rodez - Nancy	0:0
19.04.22	Rodez - Nancy	1:1
20.11.21	Nancy - Rodez	0:2
08.05.21	Rodez - Nancy	1:1
08.01.21	Nancy - Rodez	2:2
07.02.20	Rodez - Nancy	1:1
30.08.19	Nancy - Rodez	1:1

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