Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nantes		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.7	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.76	3.76	2.05
	3.61	3.71	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.8	3.8	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	3.67 ↑ (3.58)	2 (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
26.4%

Draw
26%

Strasbourg
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.5%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	14.3%	60.7%

Nantes - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (C) 98. Amian K. 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 21. Kaba M. 28. Sissoko I. 8. Lepenant J. 17. Tabibou D. 37. Ganago I. 10. Abline M.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 2. Omobamidele A. 24. Hogsberg L. 32. Barco V. 8. Oyedele M. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 11. Nanasi S. 20. Godo M. 15. Fofana D. D.
Substitutes
2. Ali Youssef 20. Cabella R. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 19. El Arabi Y. 24. Guilbert F. 11. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 27. Machado D. 31. Mostafa Mohamed	17. Amougou M. 33. Cisse A. 29. El Mourabet S. 19. Enciso J. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 83. Luis R. 42. Ouattara A. 9. Panichelli J. 80. Yassine G.
Coaches
Halilhodzic V.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Tabibou D. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
16', Barco V. 🟨,
29', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Oyedele M. ⚽, Amo-Ameyaw S. (A),
45+3', Sissoko I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fofana D. D. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
51', Lepenant J. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Awaziem C. (A),
58', Oyedele M. 🟨,
62', Doukoure I. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
62', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
62', Hogsberg L. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
76', Omobamidele A. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Panichelli J. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
81', Tabibou D. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
81', Kaba M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
86', Sissoko I. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
90+1', Guirassy B. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Panichelli J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.

Recent form of Nantes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strasbourg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Strasbourg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nantes: Camara A. (Injury) Centonze F. (Injury) Coquelin F. (Injury) Deuff B. (Injury) Sylla A. (Suspended)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Chilwell B. (Muscle Injury) Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Moreira D. (Ankle Injury) Mwanga J. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Ouattara A. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
07.03.26	Nantes - Angers	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Monaco - Nantes	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Nantes - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Strasbourg - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Rijeka - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.03.26	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
03.03.26	Strasbourg - Reims	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.08.25	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:0
09.03.25	Nantes - Strasbourg	0:1
27.10.24	Strasbourg - Nantes	3:1
16.03.24	Nantes - Strasbourg	1:3
06.10.23	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:2
07.05.23	Nantes - Strasbourg	0:2
31.08.22	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:1

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