Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Select 1, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	19:45	Z Sport 2
Argentina	15:45	ESPN 3
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	TLN, VIVA
Chile	15:45	ESPN 3
China	02:45	QQ Sports
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	02:45	M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Net4+ Sport
India	00:15	GXR World
Israel	21:45	Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Malta	20:45	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	ESPN
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV7
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	20:45	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	21:45	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Arab Emirates	22:45	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United Kingdom	19:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
Usa	14:45	CBS, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	14:45	Inter
Vietnam	01:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	18:45	Disney+, Onefootball app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Napoli		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.31	5.4	9.7	Watch
	1.31	5.71	11.56
	1.32	5.62	10.35	Watch
	1.29	5.5	11
	1.31	5.97	11.5	Watch
	1.32	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.46)	5.56 ↑ (4.56)	10.45 ↑ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
73.5%

Draw
17.3%

Monza
9.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

20.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	3.9%	1.3%

Napoli - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (70 of 74 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.44% – 99.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Caprile E. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 21. Politano M. 11. Lukaku R. 77. Kvaratskhelia K.	30. Turati S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 22. Mari P. 44. Carboni A. 13. Pereira P. 42. Bianco A. 38. Bondo W. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 14. Maldini D. 32. Pessina M. (C) 11. Djuric M.
Substitutes
14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 90. Folorunsho M. 6. Gilmour B. 5. Juan Jesus 16. Marin R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 26. Ngonge C. 81. Raspadori G. 18. Simeone G. 37. Spinazzola L. 12. Turi C. (G) 23. Zerbin A.	54. Berretta A. 19. Birindelli S. 5. Caldirola L. 10. Caprari G. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 20. Forson O. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 27. Valoti M.
Coaches
Conte A.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Politano M. ⚽,
24', Maldini D. 🟨,
26', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, McTominay S. (A),
36', Izzo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
82', Izzo A. ↓, D'Ambrosio D. ↑,
83', Bianco A. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
87', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
87', Lukaku R. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
87', Pereira P. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
90+1', Olivera M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
90+1', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Napoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monza have a series of home games.

In this match Napoli is certain favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Meret A. (Muscle Injury) Rui M. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Monza: Ciurria P. (Knee Injury) Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Vignato S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Folorunsho M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Birindelli S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Napoli to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Napoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Napoli - Palermo	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.24	Juventus - Napoli	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Cagliari - Napoli	0:4 ✺
31.08.24	Napoli - Parma	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Napoli - Bologna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW
- Monza 1912
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Monza - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Monza - Bologna	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Monza - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Fiorentina - Monza	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Monza - Genoa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.04.24	Monza - Napoli	2:4
29.12.23	Napoli - Monza	0:0
14.05.23	Monza - Napoli	2:0
21.08.22	Napoli - Monza	4:0

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