Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 5

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)


	Monza		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3	2.3
	3.35	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.5	3.06	2.44
	3.51	3.01	2.39	Watch
	3.4	3	2.38
	3.44	3.29	2.38	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.95)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	2.37 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monza
27.9%

Draw
31.4%

Bologna
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	33.3%	26.2%

Monza - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). Bologna will win (votes: 10 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 32.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 27.2% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 22. Mari P. 44. Carboni A. 13. Pereira P. 42. Bianco A. 32. Pessina M. (C) 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 47. Mota D. 14. Maldini D. 11. Djuric M.	34. Ravaglia F. (G) 29. De Silvestri L. (C) 26. Lucumi J. 15. Casale N. 22. Lykogiannis C. 20. Aebischer M. 8. Freuler R. 11. Ndoye D. 21. Odgaard J. 82. Urbanski K. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
38. Bondo W. 10. Caprari G. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 20. Forson O. 24. Maric M. 69. Mazza A. (G) 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 53. Scaramelli E. 27. Valoti M.	23. Bagnolini N. (G) 31. Beukema S. 16. Corazza T. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Erlic M. 80. Fabbian G. 14. Iling Junior S. 10. Karlsson J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. 3. Posch S. 1. Skorupski L. (G)
Coaches
Nesta A.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Carboni A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Urbanski K. ⚽, Lykogiannis C. (A),
42', Izzo A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Djuric M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Casale N. ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
52', Lucumi J. 🟨,
71', Odgaard J. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
71', Mota D. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
71', Maldini D. ↓, Forson O. ↑,
78', Urbanski K. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
78', De Silvestri L. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Castro S. ⚽, Freuler R. (A),
81', Izzo A. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
82', Djuric M. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
85', Castro S. 🟨,
86', Mari P. 🟨,
88', Pereira P. ↓, D'Ambrosio D. ↑,

Preview

Monza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bologna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
15.09.24	Monza - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Fiorentina - Monza	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Monza - Genoa	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.24	Milan - Monza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTLTL
- Bologna FC
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Bologna - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.09.24	Como - Bologna	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Bologna - Empoli	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Napoli - Bologna	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.04.24	Bologna - Monza	0:0
28.09.23	Monza - Bologna	0:0
12.02.23	Bologna - Monza	0:1
31.10.22	Monza - Bologna	1:2

Upcoming Matches