Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Napoli		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.91	3.7	3.9
	1.98	3.75	3.9
	1.88	3.55	3.9
	1.92	3.69	4.11
	1.88	3.6	4
	1.93	3.84	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	3.68 ↑ (3.63)	4.01 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
49.9%

Draw
26.1%

Real Sociedad
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

20.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	10.5%	8.4%

Napoli - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (116 of 143 users predict this - 81.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 87.53%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Napoli has a good chance of round of 32 (81%), has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (37%), has a chance of semis (23%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Real Sociedad has a chance of round of 32 (49%), has a chance of round of 16 (35%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Napoli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Napoli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Napoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
06.12.20	Crotone - Napoli	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	AZ Alkmaar - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.20	Napoli - Roma	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Napoli - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.20	Napoli - Milan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.20	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.12.20	Real de Minas - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Real Sociedad - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.20	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.11.20	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Real Sociedad - Napoli	0:1

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