The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nara Club 49.9%
Draw 24.8%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
26.7%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
25%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Nara Club - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 8. Yoshida A. 16. Okuda Y. 22. Ikoma K. 40. Yoshimura Y. 10. Morita R. (C) 48. Kawanishi S. 54. Kawasaki S. 9. Togashi Y. 11. Sato R. 13. Ando R.
31. Otani K. (G) 30. Fukumori K. 28. Yokokubo K. 3. Kamihashi R. 20. Yasumitsu S. 66. Takahashi D. (C) 18. Hiramatsu S. 51. Sakashita Y. 8. Yoshinaga M. 52. Nishimura M. 11. Koh S.
Substitutes
29. Ichimura S. 36. Ishii T. 30. Masuda S. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 99. Morimoto H. 27. Nakayama M. 2. Takahata K. 7. Tamura R.
27. Hara K. 4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 6. Hoshi K. 14. Izawa H. 5. Narasaka T. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 37. Yoshida K. 19. Yoshihara F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Fukumori K. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Togashi Y. ⚽, Kawanishi S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Ando R. ⚽, Togashi Y. (A),
56', Sakashita Y. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
56', Nishimura M. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
68', Koh S. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
68', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
70', Ando R. ↓, Morimoto H. ↑,
70', Togashi Y. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
76', Fukumori K. ↓, Yoshihara F. ↑,
78', Kawasaki S. ↓, Ichimura S. ↑,
78', Kawanishi S. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,
78', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
90', Yoshihara F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Okuda Y. 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 2.
Nara Club arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Giravanz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Giravanz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Giravanz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Nara Club is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nara Club has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nara Club against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Nara Club
10
6
2
2
21:16
5
20
15
Giravanz Kitakyushu
10
2
4
4
12:18
-6
10
Last Results with these Odds
Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Vito M. (G) 
Yoshida A. 
Koh S. 
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