The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu 29.2%
Draw 31.1%
Tochigi 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
29.5%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28.9%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giravanz Kitakyushu's form might have worsened.
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giravanz Kitakyushu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 4. Hasegawa K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 28. Konomi K. 34. Takayoshi S. 11. Kiyama K. 99. Kabayama R. 8. Machida Y. 17. Okano R. 10. Nagai R.
1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 8. Fukumori K. 77. Fujiwara K. 11. Aoshima T. 18. Kawana R. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Igarashi T. 23. Hoshino S.
Substitutes
7. Hirahara R. 14. Izawa H. 29. Koh S. 23. Sakamoto K. 50. Sugiyama K. 32. Takayanagi F. 27. Tanaka Y. (G) 21. Ushinohama T. 18. Watanabe S.
37. Kimura Y. 38. Kobori S. 5. Mori R. 22. Takahashi H. 40. Takashima S. 27. Tanno K. (G) 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K. 47. Yoshino H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Nagai R. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
45', Watanabe S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Machida Y. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
61', Igarashi T. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
68', Hoshino S. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
74', Okano R. ↓, Ushinohama T. ↑,
74', Kabayama R. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
77', Fukumori K. ↓, Takahashi H. ↑,
77', Aoshima T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
81', Konomi K. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Tochigi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Giravanz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
China
Japan
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Sugimoto M. (G) 
Koh S. 
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