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Current Win Probability
Narva Trans 25.8%
Draw 23.2%
Nõmme United 51.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
24.3%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
23.7%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans's form might have worsened.
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
0%
57.1%
Narva Trans - Nõmme United Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Nõmme United will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Pareiko D. (G) 4. Ivanyushin A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 14. Filatov A. 24. Betancor Y. 8. Agaptsev S. 19. Irie B. 3. Berardozzi T. 10. Gero A.
71. Purg G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 50. Geiger S. 27. Miil M. 4. Alteberg A. 10. Frolov A. (C) 26. Oostenbrink K. 45. Jarvelaid H. 51. Beglarishvili Z. 7. Torres A. 9. Ounapuu E.
Substitutes
47. Baljabkin N. 88. Besigirskis A. 9. Doke J. 28. Miranda da Silva K. 66. Petkus E. 39. Poliakov D. 17. Skinjov A. 6. Slein G. 7. Velijev M. 1. Zahharov M. (G)
11. Chisala B. 24. Kabal G. 31. Kaspar A. 21. Kranberg R. 23. Laanelaid K. 1. Lagus G. (G) 25. Leppik R. 12. Marmei M. 20. Matas K. 14. Veske S.
Coaches
Campana D.
Wynalda E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Berardozzi T. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Ounapuu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Miil M. 🟨,
56', Pareiko D. 🟨,
57', Miil M. ↓, Laanelaid K. ↑,
63', Ivanyushin A. ↓, Miranda da Silva K. ↑,
63', Agaptsev S. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
63', Gero A. ↓, Slein G. ↑,
63', Irie B. ↓, Skinjov A. ↑,
68', Betancor Y. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Alteberg A. ↓, Marmei M. ↑,
69', Oostenbrink K. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
70', Marmei M. 🟨,
71', Torres A. 🟨,
79', Ounapuu E. ↓, Matas K. ↑,
83', Filatov A. ↓, Velijev M. ↑,
88', Kondrattsev S. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
Narva Trans is Relegated to Esiliiga.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 2.
Narva Trans is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Nõmme United have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nõmme United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Narva Trans has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 2.3:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Narva Trans against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).
Estonia
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Pareiko D. (G) 
Ivanyushin A. 
Campagna C. 
Eriks Santos 
Betancor Y. 
Irie B. 
Berardozzi T. 
Gero A. 
Chanda R. 
Geiger S. 
Oostenbrink K. 
Beglarishvili Z. 
Torres A. 
Doke J. 
Velijev M. 
Wynalda E. 
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