The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nashville SC 48.9%
Draw 25.8%
Philadelphia Union 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.6%
24.2%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
23.1%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 45% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Nashville SC (1.96) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Schwake B. (G) 27. Baker-Whiting R. 4. Palacios J. 3. Woledzi M. 2. Lovitz D. 19. Muyl A. 8. Yazbek P. 20. Tagseth E. 7. Espinoza C. (C) 41. Madrigal W. 37. Qasem A.
18. Blake A. (C) 26. Harriel N. 5. Sery Larsen J. 44. Pierre N. 27. Wagner K. 33. Sullivan Q. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 23. Alladoh E. 51. Jakupovic M.
Substitutes
6. Acosta B. 22. Bauer J. 5. Maher J. 14. Mohammed S. 10. Mukhtar H. 31. Najar A. 11. Saad E. 9. Surridge S. 1. Willis J. (G)
28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 47. LeBlanc K. 2. Martinez G. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 66. Sundstrom F. 39. Westfield F.
Coaches
Callaghan B.
Richter R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Tagseth E. 🟨,
40', Lukic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tagseth E. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
58', Qasem A. ↓, Surridge S. ↑,
58', Muyl A. ↓, Mukhtar H. ↑,
59', Jakupovic M. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
69', Alladoh E. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
69', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
72', Lovitz D. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
80', Madrigal W. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
86', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
90+2', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
Nashville is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3.
Nashville arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Philadelphia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Philadelphia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Nashville is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Nashville: Presthus O.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Philadelphia: Iloski M.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Nashville: Camara F.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Philadelphia: Bueno J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sullivan C.
(Ankle Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Nashville in today's match, at odds of 1.78.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Nashville has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nashville against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Union - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Schwake B. (G) 
Palacios J. 
Woledzi M. 
Yazbek P. 
Tagseth E. 
Espinoza C. (C) 
Madrigal W. 
Qasem A. 
Blake A. (C) 
Sery Larsen J. 
Wagner K. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Lukic J. 
Acosta B. 
Saad E. 
Surridge S. 
