Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Jose Bento Pessoa (Figueira da Foz)


	Naval		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.95	6.7
	1.42	3.84	7.04
	1.70	2.88	6.66	Watch
	1.46	3.9	7.19
	1.4	3.8	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)	3.67 ↑ (3.55)	7.02 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
62%

Draw
24.9%

SC Lusitânia
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Naval - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Naval (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Naval (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Naval has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SC Lusitânia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Naval may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.01.26	União da Serra - Naval	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Naval - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Eléctrico - Naval	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Naval - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLW
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fatima - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Peniche	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	SC Lusitânia - Naval	0:1

Naval - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide