Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Naval		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.98	2.78
	2.58	2.72	2.82
	2.6	2.8	2.85	Watch
	2.34	3.23	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
36.7%

Draw
31.1%

Vitória de Sernache
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Naval - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	Os Marialvas - Naval	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Naval - Lajense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Naval - Mortágua	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fatima - Naval	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Naval - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Fatima - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Peniche - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0

Naval - Vitória de Sernache: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide