Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Palms Sports Arena (Baku)

Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Neftchi Baku		Sabah

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.25
	2.62	3.35	2.28	Watch
	2.71	3.60	2.38
	2.55	3.56	2.41	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.35
	2.61	3.28	2.30
	2.65	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.67)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	2.33 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
34.6%

Draw
26.4%

Sabah
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.5%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Sabah have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Neftchi Baku - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sabah (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balayev E. (C) 3. Abbasov R. 26. Akinyemi A. 33. Breno Almeida 55. Gravillon A. 20. Gustavo Klismahn 5. Igor Ribeiro 77. Sacko F. 88. Sevelj V. 11. Skribek A. 29. Tupta L.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 18. Carlos Eduardo 5. Dashdamirov R. 37. Du Queiroz 6. Khaybulaev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 4. McCarthy A. 27. Puchacz T. 34. Severina X. 21. Simic V. 80. Zedadka A.
Substitutes
14. Badalov E. 93. Cafarov R. (G) 81. Hasanov M. (G) 22. Jubitana D. 8. Mahmudov E. 18. Mathew I. 7. Safarov E. 97. Sambou B. 27. Savic D. 24. Seck M. 70. Shtogrin A. 10. Vargas F.	88. Fernandes R. 10. Isayev A. 33. Junior Almeida 23. Lachaab Y. 99. Mbina O. 20. Mickels J. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 8. Nwachukwu C. 11. Parris K. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 1. Ramazanov A. (G)
Coaches
Vernydub Y.	Dambrauskas V.

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neftchi has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:21 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftchi against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 0.7:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
2	Sabah Baku	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.09.26	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	İmişli - Neftchi Baku	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Neftchi Baku - Şəfa	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.09.26	Sabah - İmişli	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Şəfa - Sabah	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Manchester United - Sabah	4:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
17.05.26	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:2
08.12.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	2:0
14.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0
24.05.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
23.04.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:1
02.04.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	1:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.01.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	1:1

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