Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)

Referee: Norsafarov F. (Uzb)


	Neftchi Fargona		Xorazm Urganch

	1	X	2
	1.20	6.25	9.00
	1.11	6.8	12.5
	1.16	8.04	17.63
	1.16	6.7	12	Watch
	1.14	7.2	17
	1.18	6.73	11.4
	1.13	7.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.28)	6.99 ↑ (5.1)	13.22 ↑ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Fargona
79.8%

Draw
13.2%

Xorazm Urganch
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

18%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Fargona's performance.

Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Predictions

Users Predictions: Neftchi Fargona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I. 4. Ciger B. 15. Abduganiyev N. 52. Kouao K. 5. Alibaev I. 10. Iskanderov J. 22. Odilov A. 14. Giyosov K. 7. Ismoilov A. 18. Perica S.	77. Ergashev U. (G) 2. Ortiqboyev D. 6. Otakhonov A. 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 88. Khusinov A. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 9. Azimov S. 13. Lohan 94. Abdukhamidov R. 96. Rafael Sabino 21. Rafael Tavares
Substitutes
30. Fomin R. 8. Jovovic V. 11. Jumaev A. 32. Marusic Z. 27. Sarsenbaev N. 34. Sayfiev F. 71. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M.	8. Abdikholikov N. 79. Akhrorov A. 7. Ismoilov T. . Mukhammadjonov M. (G) . Muzaffarov N. 17. Nugumanov D. 12. Shiryaev M. 3. Sultonov R. 71. Sultonov U.
Coaches
Ismoilov I.	Sultonov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Rafael Tavares ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Perica S. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Rafael Tavares ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Giyosov K. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Iskanderov J. ⚽,
68', Rafael Sabino ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
68', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,
74', Odilov A. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
74', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
74', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
75', Lohan ↓, Abdikholikov N. ↑,
75', Azimov S. ↓, Sultonov U. ↑,
84', Rafael Tavares ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
84', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 14th in the Super League (Relegation)).

Neftchi Fargona is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Xorazm is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Neftchi Fargona enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Neftchi Fargona has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftchi Fargona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	23	16	4	3	52:19	33	52
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Neftchi Fargona	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Neftchi Fargona - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
09.09.26	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	6:2 ✺
Uzbek Cup
29.08.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
21.09.26	Xorazm Urganch - Qizilqum	1:3 ✺
Uzbek Cup
16.09.26	AGMK - Xorazm Urganch	2:1 ✺
Uzbek League
10.09.26	Xorazm Urganch - Sogdiana Jizzakh	0:0 ✺
03.09.26	AGMK - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andijan - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
24.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	0:2
30.11.25	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	2:0
07.07.25	Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch	2:0

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