Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 13

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	4.83
	1.86	3.35	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	4.6 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
50.7%

Draw
28.7%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. (C) 14. Appaev K. 4. Gassama N. 99. Lisakovich V. 8. Mendel A. 96. Mokhammad A. 95. Petrov I. 19. Pryakhin S. 17. Saus V. 2. Varatynov S.	28. Yanovich N. (G) 7. Dzhamilov S. 99. Emelyanov D. 24. Kakhidze A. 9. Morozov K. 73. Petrov M. 90. Shiltsov K. 16. Shorkin M. 2. Sitdikov M. (C) 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Substitutes
10. Alex Fernandes 59. Avanesyan T. 70. Eldarushev A. 3. Kalachev I. 11. Kovalev Y. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. 1. Svinov I. (G) 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N.	11. Aliev S. 29. Denisov R. 1. Golubev A. (G) 47. Golybin R. 10. Magomedov R. 14. Pershin M. 6. Rodin D. 3. Sagutkin D. 33. Sharifullin L.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Pryakhin S. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
57', Appaev K. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
57', Lisakovich V. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
61', Mendel A. 🟨,
65', Tolstopyatov N. 🟨,
80', Petrov I. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
80', Saus V. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
83', Shiltsov K. ↓, Denisov R. ↑,
83', Emelyanov D. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,
89', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltika won 0.

Baltika is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neftekhimik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Baltika is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Baltika won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
29.09.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Luki-Energiya - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Torpedo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLW
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
29.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
29.04.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
09.10.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:2
17.11.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
08.08.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0
28.04.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1
01.11.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
19.10.19	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0

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