Match Info

FNL - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.25	3.57
	2.19	3.24	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
43.7%

Draw
29.5%

Volga Ulyanovsk
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (C) 17. Valiakhmetov E. 28. Platonov P. 24. Kakhidze A. 5. Musalov M. 10. Kokoev D. 8. Kantaria G. 15. Nikitin A. 90. Shiltsov K. 70. Bober I. 14. Mashukov I.	23. Baburin E. (C) 20. Kovalev K. 6. Tikhiy D. 4. Ibragimov K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 99. Kostin A. 92. Kasyanov I. 90. Folmer K. 37. Voronin E. 7. Murza A. 9. Kamenshchikov D.
Substitutes
7. Dzhamilov S. 77. Gvenetadze A. 74. Kuchugura D. 9. Magomedov R. 53. Moiseev K. 43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 6. Rodin D. 75. Shadrintsev D. 12. Shiryaev M. 16. Shorkin M. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 88. Titov D.	77. Bagatelia L. 1. Dovgal A. (G) 97. Eremeev D. (G) 17. Gershun I. 30. Khabibullin A. 28. Novikov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 27. Umnikov M. 14. Yakovlev V.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Kamenshchikov D. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Platonov P. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Shiltsov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tikhiy D. ↓, Khabibullin A. ↑,
46', Voronin E. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
46', Murza A. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
60', Mashukov I. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
60', Kokoev D. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,
62', Gershun I. 🟨,
63', Folmer K. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Yakovlev V. ⚽,
70', Kakhidze A. 🟨,
73', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
75', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
84', Nikitin A. ↓, Moiseev K. ↑,
85', Valiakhmetov E. ↓, Shadrintsev D. ↑,
90+4', Bober I. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Neftekhimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neftekhimik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78% Neftekhimik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
02.05.26	Chelyabinsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
03.05.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:4
20.11.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2
Russian Cup
02.11.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2
Russian FNL
30.07.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
04.06.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3
04.11.18	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0
03.09.18	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1

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