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Current Win Probability
New York City 66.8%
Draw 19.9%
Sporting Kansas City 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
24.9%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
24.2%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.6%
21.7%
8.7%
New York City - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Kansas City will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 50.8% – 88.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
NY City has the most likely position - 1 (32.07%), has project points - 60, has currently - 13, has a good chance of playoffs (93%), has a chance of first-round bye (32%), has a small chance of supporters shield (15%), has a chance of win league (16%).
Kansas City has the most likely position - 14 (14.73%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of playoffs (19%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality44, small importance15, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches NY City won 0.
NY City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kansas City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently NY City have a series of home games.
In this match NY City is absolute favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches NY City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams NY City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
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