The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City 59.4%
Draw 22.1%
San Jose Earthquakes 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
23.1%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
22.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
10%
5%
New York City - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
New York City will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins 5. Risa B. 22. O'Toole K. 6. Sands J. 55. Parks K. 11. Fernandez J. 10. Rodriguez S. 17. Wolf H. 7. Mijatovic J.
25. Yarbrough W. (G) 15. Beason T. 26. Rodrigues 4. Wilson Valdez B. R. 3. Marie P. 14. Yueill J. 30. Tsakiris N. 10. Espinoza C. 23. Lopez H. 9. Pellegrino A. 11. Ebobisse J.
Substitutes
1. Barraza L. (G) 35. Ilenic M. 88. Jones M. 16. Martinez A. 27. Moralez M. 26. Ojeda A. A. 8. Perea A. 43. Talles Magno 12. Tanasijevic S.
7. Gruezo C. 98. Jackson J. (G) 19. Judd P. 99. Medina C. 6. Morales A. 24. Munie D. 16. Skahan J. 22. Thompson T. 33. Verhoeven O.
Coaches
Cushing N.
Gonzalez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Fernandez J. 🟨,
17', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
23', Yueill J. 🟨,
35', Wilson Valdez B. R. ↓, Munie D. ↑,
40', O'Toole K. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Lopez H. (A),
58', Fernandez J. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
58', Mijatovic J. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
60', Sands J. 🟨,
74', Wolf H. ↓, Moralez M. ↑,
75', Parks K. ↓, Perea A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
81', Tsakiris N. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
81', Pellegrino A. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
85', Marie P. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
90+2', 4 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,
90+6', 5 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches NY City won 4.
NY City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
San Jose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Jose could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match NY City is a favorite.
There will not play in NY City: Hope-Gund R.
(Injury)
Moralez M.
(Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Akapo C.
(Yellow Cards)
Daniel
(Injury)
Marcinkowski J.
(Knee Injury)
Ricketts J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's NY City to win the game is with odds 1.62.
Last 7 head-to-head matches NY City won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.
Including matches at home between the teams NY City won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.
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Freese M. (G) 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins 
Risa B. 
Fernandez J. 
Rodriguez S. 
Wolf H. 
Mijatovic J. 
Wilson Valdez B. R. 
Marie P. 
Ilenic M. 
Jones M. 
Martinez A. 
Gruezo C. 
Cushing N. 
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