Match Info

MLS

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	New York Red Bulls		Atlanta United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	4	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.8
	1.9	3.75	4	Watch
	2.02	3.75	3.67
	1.86	3.87	3.94	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3.6
	1.88	3.82	3.87	Watch
	1.9	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)	3.77 ↑ (3.56)	3.86 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
50.2%

Draw
25.2%

Atlanta United
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

25.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Atlanta (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlanta (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: New York Red Bulls will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carlos Coronel (G) 6. Duncan K. 42. Hack A. 3. Eile N. 5. Valencia O. 17. Harper C. 8. Stroud P. 75. Edelman D. 19. Carmona W. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 10. Forsberg E.	1. Guzan B. (G) 47. Edwards M. 3. Williams D. 44. Abram L. 18. Amador P. 99. Slisz B. 35. Fortune A. 59. Miranchuk Al. 9. Lobjanidze S. 19. Latte Lath E. 10. Almiron M.
Substitutes
7. Bogacz W. 48. Donkor R. 44. Edwards R. 22. Gjengaar D. 1. Marcucci A. (G) 15. Nealis S. 81. Ngoma S. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M.	20. Brennan L. 24. Cobb N. 2. Hernandez R. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 43. Klich M. 11. Lennon B. 70. Mosquera E. 28. Reilly W. 14. Thiare J.
Coaches
Schwarz S.	Deila R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Harper C. ⚽,
26', Duncan K. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Harper C. (A), Hack A. (A2)
34', Edwards M. 🟨,
45', Edelman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amador P. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
46', Fortune A. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
46', Abram L. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
60', Almiron M. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
61', Hack A. 🟨,
73', Harper C. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
73', Carmona W. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
75', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
78', Slisz B. 🟨,
81', Valencia O. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
83', Forsberg E. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
83', Duncan K. ↓, Nealis S. ↑,
90+6', Edwards R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

NY Red Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

NY Red Bulls is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Carballo F. (Muscle Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
28.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Charlotte	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	DC United - New York Red Bulls	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas	3:2 penalties ✺
MLS
17.05.25	New York City - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Nashville SC - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLL
- Atlanta United
MLS
28.05.25	Atlanta United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
25.05.25	Atlanta United - Cincinnati	4:2 ✺
17.05.25	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
14.05.25	Austin FC - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Chicago Fire - Atlanta United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
08.03.25	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	0:0
05.10.24	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	2:1
21.09.24	New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United	2:2
24.06.23	New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United	4:0
01.04.23	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	1:0
17.08.22	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	1:2
30.06.22	New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United	2:1

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