Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	New York Red Bulls		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
				Watch
	2.13	3.6	3.51
				Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.13	3.53	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	3.45 ↑ (3.39)	3.36 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
44.4%

Draw
27.4%

Minnesota United
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carlos Coronel (G) 15. Nealis S. 6. Duncan K. 3. Eile N. 37. Sofo M. 20. Carballo F. 8. Stroud P. 5. Valencia O. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 81. Ngoma S.	96. Speel W. (G) 24. Gressel J. 15. Boxall M. 28. Diaz J. 5. Romero N. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 20. Trapp W. 17. Lod R. 21. Hlongwane B. 9. Yeboah K.
Substitutes
7. Bogacz W. 19. Carmona W. 48. Donkor R. 44. Edwards R. 22. Gjengaar D. 42. Hack A. 16. Hall J. 1. Marcucci A. (G) 26. Parker T.	30. Gene O. 7. Jeong S. 22. Jung Ho-yeon 90. Mesanvi L. 2. Padelford D. 98. Randell A. 19. Shashoua S. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D.
Coaches
Schwarz S.	Ramsay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Forsberg E. ⚽, Choupo-Moting E. M. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
20', Speel W. ↓, Smir A. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
44', Forsberg E. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Markanich A. ⚽, Diaz J. (A), Boxall M. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ngoma S. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
58', Carballo F. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
66', Smir A. 🟨,
68', Hlongwane B. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
68', Yeboah K. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
68', Gressel J. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
78', Nealis S. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
78', Stroud P. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
78', Markanich A. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
80', Valencia O. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
84', Romero N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Duncan K. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.

NY Red Bulls is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minnesota has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

NY Red Bulls is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury) Rojas A. (International duty)

There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Harvey C. (International duty) Oluwaseyi T. (International duty) Rosales J. (International duty) St.Clair D. (International duty)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (Injury) Choupo-Moting E. M. (Abdominal strain) Edwards R. (Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Shashoua S. (Leg Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
25.06.25	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Austin FC - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Charlotte	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	DC United - New York Red Bulls	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWW
- Minnesota United
MLS
25.06.25	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	Minnesota United - San Diego	2:4 ✺
01.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	2:3 ✺
28.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
11.03.23	Minnesota United - New York Red Bulls	1:1
13.03.22	New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United	0:1
06.04.19	New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United	1:2
24.03.18	New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United	3:0
22.07.17	Minnesota United - New York Red Bulls	0:3

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