Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport 5
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Palace TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Newcastle United		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.75
	1.66	3.9	5
	1.7	4	4.95
	1.73	4.01	4.94	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.8
	1.68	4.19	5.11	Watch
	1.66	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)	4 ↑ (3.75)	4.94 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
56.8%

Draw
23.8%

Crystal Palace
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crystal Palace might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crystal Palace could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.7%	10.1%	10.1%

Newcastle United - Crystal Palace Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Crystal Palace (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (55 of 69 users predict this - 79.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.22% – 89.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 29 - 87.9%). Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 6.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pope N. (G) 67. Miley L. 12. Thiaw M. 5. Schar F. 3. Hall L. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 23. Murphy J. 9. Wissa Y. 10. Gordon A.	1. Henderson D. (G) 8. Lerma J. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 17. Clyne N. 20. Wharton A. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 11. Johnson B. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
11. Barnes H. 4. Botman S. 21. Livramento V. 37. Murphy A. 32. Ramsdale A. (G) 41. Ramsey J. 2. Trippier K. 28. Willock J. 27. Woltemade N.	72. Benamar D. 44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 55. Devenny J. 86. Drakes-Thomas J. 21. Esse R. 42. Rodney K. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Howe E.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Johnson B. 🟨,
38', Lerma J. ↓, Canvot J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Mitchell T. 🟨,
52', Clyne N. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
55', Guehi M. 🟨,
62', Gordon A. 🟨,
63', Gordon A. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
63', Tonali S. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
63', Hall L. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽, Miley L. (A),
72', Johnson B. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
78', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Thiaw M. ⚽,
87', Mateta J. ↓, Drakes-Thomas J. ↑,
87', Wharton A. ↓, Rodney K. ↑,
87', Pino Y. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
88', Murphy J. ↓, Willock J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.

In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Newcastle: Burn D. (Chest Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Cardines R. (Muscle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kamada D. (Hamstring Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Munoz D. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (International duty)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Elanga A. (Knee Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Hughes W. (Injury) Richards C. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 1.5:0.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9:9	0	8
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Manchester United - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
17.12.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
14.12.25	Sunderland - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Crystal Palace - KuPS Kuopio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.04.25	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	5:0
30.11.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	1:1
24.04.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:0
21.10.23	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	4:0
21.01.23	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	0:0
English League Cup
09.11.22	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	1:0 penalties
English Premier League
03.09.22	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	0:0

Upcoming Matches