Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bournemouth		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5
	1.38	5.25	7.25
	1.38	5.4	8.4	Watch
	1.4	5.09	7.5
	1.43	5.02	7.34	Watch
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.43	5.13	7.4	Watch
	1.38	5.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	5.16 ↑ (5.11)	7.66 ↓ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
68.9%

Draw
18.6%

Ipswich Town
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

15.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.9%	6.6%	6.6%

Bournemouth - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (51 of 58 users predict this - 87.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.55% – 96.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 2. Huijsen D. 3. Kerkez M. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 11. Ouattara Da. 8. Scott A. 24. Semenyo A. 9. Evanilson	31. Palmer A. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 22. Townsend C. 5. Morsy S. (C) 12. Cajuste J. 18. Johnson B. 9. Enciso J. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Delap L.
Substitutes
12. Adams T. 7. Brooks D. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 21. Jebbison D. 5. Senesi M. 43. Silcott-Duberry Z. 20. Soler J. 47. Winterburn B.	10. Chaplin C. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 27. Hirst G. 8. Phillips K. 29. Philogene J. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 6. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Iraola A.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Broadhead N. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Smith A. ↓, Adams T. ↑,
58', Scott A. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
58', Christie R. ↓, Senesi M. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Delap L. ⚽, Townsend C. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Evanilson ⚽,
72', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
72', Broadhead N. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
72', Enciso J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
73', Townsend C. 🟨,
82', Morsy S. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
83', Huijsen D. 🟨,
87', Zabarnyi I. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
90+5', Johnson B. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
90+6', Philogene J. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Bournemouth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ipswich has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bournemouth is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury) Tavernier M. (Ankle Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Muric A. (Shoulder Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Phillips K. (Foot Injury) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Chaplin C. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English FA Cup
30.03.25	Bournemouth - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.25	Bournemouth - Brentford	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Bournemouth - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
25.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
15.03.25	Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest	2:4 ✺
08.03.25	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.03.25	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ipswich Town - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.12.24	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:2
English League Championship
03.04.15	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:1
22.11.14	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	2:2
21.04.14	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	2:2
29.12.13	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	1:1

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