Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)


	Newcastle United		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.8	4.4
	1.6	4	4.3
	1.65	3.49	5.41
	1.66	4.2	4.6	Watch
	1.64	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	3.84 ↓ (4.15)	4.72 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
56.6%

Draw
24%

Fiorentina
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Newcastle United - Fiorentina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 24. Almiron M. 32. Anderson E. 4. Botman S. 10. Gordon A. 14. Isak A. 67. Miley L. 54. Murphy A. 13. Targett M. 8. Tonali S. 2. Trippier K. (C)	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 29. Arthur 3. Biraghi C. (C) 5. Bonaventura G. 77. Brekalo J. 9. Cabral A. 37. Comuzzo P. 2. Dodo 32. Duncan A. 22. Gonzalez N. 4. Milenkovic N.
Coaches
Howe E.	Italiano V.

Preview

Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Newcastle have a series of guest games.

In this match Newcastle is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Newcastle to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Chelsea - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	3:3 ✺
18.07.23	Glasgow Rangers - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Gateshead - Newcastle United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWW
- Fiorentina
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Grosseto - Fiorentina	0:4 ✺
26.07.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Fiorentina	5:0 ✺
23.07.23	Fiorentina - Catanzaro	3:0 ✺
20.07.23	Fiorentina - Parma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.06.23	Fiorentina - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWTL

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