Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Moji, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, MEGOGO Sport, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Chelsea		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	4.33
	1.82	3.9	3.9
	1.75	4.3	4.3
	1.74	4.35	4.5
	1.72	4.45	4.43	Watch
	1.7	4	4.2
	1.72	4.46	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	4.26 ↓ (4.39)	4.3 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelsea
55.3%

Draw
22.5%

Newcastle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

21.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

21.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	16.9%	4.2%

Chelsea - Newcastle United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Newcastle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.22) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (56 of 70 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.63% – 89.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 24. James R. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. 49. Garnacho A. 20. Joao Pedro	32. Ramsdale A. (G) 21. Livramento V. 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 28. Willock J. 41. Ramsey J. 23. Murphy J. (C) 27. Woltemade N. 11. Barnes H. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
4. Adarabioyo T. 17. Andrey Santos 5. Badiashile B. 9. Delap L. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 45. Lavia R. 19. Sarr M. 28. Sharman-Lowe T. (G)	33. Burn D. 20. Elanga A. 7. Joelinton 37. Murphy A. 18. Osula W. 1. Pope N. (G) 26. Ruddy J. (G) 2. Trippier K. 9. Wissa Y.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Gordon A. ⚽, Willock J. (A),
23', Fofana W. 🟨,
25', Caicedo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gusto M. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
61', Caicedo M. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
67', Woltemade N. ↓, Joelinton ↑,
77', Willock J. ↓, Burn D. ↑,
78', Murphy J. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
82', Fofana W. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
84', Ramsdale A. 🟨,
89', Hall L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelsea is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Estêvão (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Neto P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Miley L. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Red Card) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Gittens J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 5.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9:9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.33%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea	5:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Wrexham - Chelsea	2:4 ET ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Aston Villa - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chelsea - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT
- Newcastle United
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Newcastle United - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Newcastle United - Everton	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Newcastle United - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.12.25	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:2
11.05.25	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:0
English League Cup
30.10.24	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:0
English Premier League
27.10.24	Chelsea - Newcastle United	2:1
11.03.24	Chelsea - Newcastle United	3:2
English League Cup
19.12.23	Chelsea - Newcastle United	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
25.11.23	Newcastle United - Chelsea	4:1

Upcoming Matches