Match Info

Cymru South - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Newport City

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.15	1.52
	4.62	4.34	1.56
	4.59	4.43	1.59	Watch
	4.91	4.25	1.51
	4.33	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.59)	4.27 ↓ (4.43)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
19.8%

Draw
21.3%

Newport City
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

21%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

20.3%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Treowen Stars - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Jarvis N. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Jenkins C. ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, Jenkins C. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Newport City is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
15.11.25	Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Cardiff Draconians - Treowen Stars	4:3 ✺
01.11.25	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLTW
- Newport City FC
Welsh FA Cup
23.11.25	Newport City - Blaenavon Blues	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Newport City - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Caerau Ely - Newport City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTWL

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