Match Info

Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Newport City		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.45	2.45
	2.3	3.66	2.61
	2.47	3.77	2.5	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.55
	2.35	3.96	2.56
	2.38	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.48)	3.68 ↓ (3.74)	2.54 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newport City
39%

Draw
24.9%

Pontypridd United
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Newport City - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Tedstone G. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Heffernan D. (Own goal),
45+3', 0 - 3, Edwards E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, Johnson S. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Booth R. ⚽,
87', 3 - 3, Johnson S. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, Jones J. ⚽,
90+9', 4 - 4, Johnson S. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 2nd).

Pontypridd has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Newport City has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Newport City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pontypridd	11	6	3	2	28:21	7	21
14	Newport City	9	2	3	4	16:13	3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pontypridd United - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
09.10.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Newport City	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Afan Lido - Newport City	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
06.10.26	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Pontypridd United	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Pontypridd United - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
05.12.25	Newport City - Pontypridd United	0:0
12.09.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	1:3
10.01.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	0:2
27.09.24	Newport City - Pontypridd United	0:1

Upcoming Matches