Match Info

Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Newport City		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.85	4.35
	1.66	4.09	4.45	Watch
	1.58	3.88	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	3.94 ↓ (4.09)	4.52 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
56.6%

Draw
23.2%

Ammanford
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Newport City - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ammanford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newport City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Newport City is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Caerau Ely - Newport City	4:3 ✺
10.10.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Newport City	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
01.03.25	Ammanford - Newport City	1:2
26.07.24	Newport City - Ammanford	3:1

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