Match Info

Cymru South - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Newport City		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.35	3.15
	2	3.51	3.34
	2.03	3.71	3.25	Watch
	2	3.2	3.25
	1.97	3.44	3.31
	1.96	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.03)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	3.26 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
45.6%

Draw
26.5%

Aberystwyth Town
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Newport City - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Mason T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).

In recent matches, Newport City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newport City has had a series of home games.

Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Cambrian United - Newport City	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Newport City - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Newport City - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Newport City - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTWT
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
24.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Draconians	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Caerau Ely - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1

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