Match Info

League Two - Round 38

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Newport County		Bromley

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.96	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.57	3.57	2.08
	3.79	3.44	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.61	3.41	2.01	Watch
	3.85	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (3.84)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
25.9%

Draw
27.3%

Bromley
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

26.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bromley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Newport County - Bromley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bromley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bromley will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 15. Jenkins L. 17. Davies T. 4. Baker M. (C) 12. Thomas J. 5. Sprangler S. 2. Evans C. 20. Lloyd B. 10. Biggins H. 7. Kamwa B. 24. Opoku N.	1. Smith G. (G) 26. Ifill M. 5. Sowunmi O. 15. Debrah J. 30. Odutayo I. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 25. Ajayi D. 7. Krauhaus B. 16. Hondermarck W. 11. Pinnock M. 14. Kabamba N.
Substitutes
9. Baker-Richardson C. 16. Crole J. 19. Garner G. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 33. Nyakuhwa T. 18. Shephard L. 8. Smith M.	4. Charles A. 10. Dinanga M. 40. Evans G. 31. Ilunga B. 12. Long S. (G) 3. Medley Z. 18. Whitely C.
Coaches
Fuchs Ch.	Woodman A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Debrah J. 🟨,
38', Jenkins L. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Arthurs J. 🟨,
57', Ajayi D. ↓, Whitely C. ↑,
57', Krauhaus B. ↓, Dinanga M. ↑,
70', Opoku N. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
71', Arthurs J. ↓, Charles A. ↑,
78', Ifill M. ↓, Ilunga B. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Whitely C. ⚽,
90', Evans C. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
90', Smith M. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
90+6', Biggins H. 🟨,
90+6', Sowunmi O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bromley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bromley is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Newport: Brennan C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bromley: Cameron K. (Inactive) Cheek M. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Newport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Newport: 0.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Newport	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Newport County - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 23.9%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
14.03.26	Barnet - Newport County	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Newport County - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Newport County - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Newport County	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Newport County - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WLWTL
- Bromley FC
English League Two
14.03.26	Bromley - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Grimsby Town - Bromley	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Bromley - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bromley - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Harrogate Town - Bromley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.01.26	Bromley - Newport County	2:1
01.04.25	Newport County - Bromley	1:1
26.12.24	Bromley - Newport County	5:2

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