Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Newport County		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5
	1.68	3.5	5.25
	1.65	3.7	5.75
	1.72	3.35	5
	1.76	3.52	5.41
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.74	3.68	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)	3.52 ↓ (3.57)	5.36 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
55.5%

Draw
26.9%

Scunthorpe United
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

17.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newport County - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Newport has the most likely position - 17 (5.57%), has project points - 60, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (33.68%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Newport is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Scunthorpe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newport is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
24.09.21	Barrow - Newport County	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Newport County - Walsall	2:1 ✺
14.09.21	Newport County - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
10.09.21	Harrogate Town - Newport County	2:2 ✺
04.09.21	Newport County - Leyton Orient	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT
- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
25.09.21	Scunthorpe United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Scunthorpe United - Exeter City	0:4 ✺
04.09.21	Northampton Town - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Scunthorpe United - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.04.21	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	4:0
12.09.20	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:1
11.01.20	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:2
19.10.19	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	2:1
01.03.14	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	2:2
31.08.13	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:1

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