The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 19.6%
Draw 27.4%
Port Vale 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
27.3%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.1%
21.5%
61.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Scunthorpe United - Port Vale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (27.08%), has project points - 43, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 8 (5.67%), has project points - 67, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Scunthorpe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
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