The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
York City 56.8%
Draw 23%
Gillingham 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
21.8%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
22.5%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
York City - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - York (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 28. Banks O. 8. Hunt A. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O.
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 16. Brophy J. 14. McKenzie R. 34. King E. 10. Hale R. 9. Goodwin W. 24. Waldock H.
Substitutes
32. Hunt J. 15. King J. 11. Maguire F. 18. Malcolm J. 6. Palmer A. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
15. Albarus Z. 17. Antwi C. 23. Dack B. 20. Daley J. 18. Kendall S. 40. Luthra R. (G) 12. McCleary G.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Grey J. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
19', Goodwin W. ↓, Albarus Z. ↑,
31', King E. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
37', Beckles O. 🟨,
45+1', McKenzie R. 🟨,
45+3', Grey J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', McCleary G. 🟨,
57', Newby A. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
60', Albarus Z. 🟨,
65', Dobbs L. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
65', Hale R. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
65', Smith A. ↓, Daley J. ↑,
70', Albarus Z. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Malcolm J. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
79', 3 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
81', Felix J. ↓, Read A. ↑,
81', Grey J. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
81', Banks O. ↓, King J. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
York is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gillingham is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
York may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to York for this game.
Confirmed absences for York: Boateng H.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Gillingham: Maclorg L.
(Inactive)
Obiero Z.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for York: Stones J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Gillingham: Albarus Z.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
Little A.
(Inactive)
Tabares S.
(Inactive).
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, York has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for York against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.