Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Bayer Leverkusen		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.25
	1.48	4.6	6.25
	1.52	4.4	6.25
	1.45	4.6	6
	1.48	4.76	6.56
	1.47	4.5	6.5
	1.51	4.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	4.6 ↑ (4.24)	6.32 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
64.2%

Draw
20.7%

Nice
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

13.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-29.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	4%	16.7%

Bayer Leverkusen - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (100 of 126 users predict this - 79.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.3% – 86.44%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Bayer has a good chance of round of 32 (85%), has a good chance of round of 16 (56%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Nice has a chance of round of 32 (37%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bayer is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Bayer have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
17.10.20	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.09.20	Eintracht Norderstedt - Bayer Leverkusen	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTTW
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
18.10.20	Saint-Étienne - Nice	1:3 ✺
03.10.20	Nice - Nantes	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Bordeaux - Nice	0:0 ✺
20.09.20	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
12.09.20	Montpellier - Nice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

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